Projecting future results – Goaltender edition

Abstract: In the last article, I tried to project future performances of the NHL skaters. In this piece I will add goaltender projections, so we can see how the first draft of the projection model performs. What if all goaltenders were average? Before we get to the goaltender projections, let’s try to assume every goaltenderContinue reading “Projecting future results – Goaltender edition”

Is NHL a strong link league?

Abstract: The goal of this piece is to discuss if it’s more important to have elite players (strong link) or great depth (weak link). To do so, I will look at talent distributions. How is the talent/impact spread out across the players? Do the elite players have a relatively larger impact on the game? I’mContinue reading “Is NHL a strong link league?”

Applying Arena Effects to goalies and skaters

Abstract: In the previous article, I found some differences in the shot tracking data depending on the arena. I therefore defined the Arena Effect as the difference between shot quality at home and on the road. Those Arena Effects can be downloaded here. Now, I want to add these effects to my sGAA model, whichContinue reading “Applying Arena Effects to goalies and skaters”